Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.444642 0.512179 0.586105 0.672976 0.772214 0.881992 1.012595
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.368053 0.463824 0.577873 0.723466 0.904167 1.120852 1.400218
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.304890 0.417244 0.561752 0.760664 1.026761 1.369835 1.845120
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.254432 0.375920 0.543727 0.791322 1.146118 1.634808 2.357506
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.217574 0.345166 0.533429 0.829568 1.281537 1.942773 2.980435
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.181663 0.308155 0.506718 0.838317 1.374970 2.205201 3.581416
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.157481 0.284290 0.495104 0.867157 1.502629 2.537316 4.340344
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.132364 0.253567 0.466365 0.862113 1.573359 2.788486 5.007571
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.115412 0.233723 0.452290 0.879056 1.683086 3.119089 5.857179
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.097009 0.207320 0.421388 0.859455 1.723010 3.332265 6.529723
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.087727 0.197023 0.418938 0.893033 1.867094 3.753913 7.645842
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.081023 0.190703 0.423100 0.940088 2.044280 4.261942 8.998754
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.071103 0.175623 0.406990 0.943442 2.135447 4.619190 10.115633
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.062196 0.161035 0.389355 0.940487 2.212986 4.960424 11.251718
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.054782 0.148471 0.374009 0.939988 2.295891 5.325028 12.492072
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.048762 0.138126 0.361981 0.945129 2.392505 5.733320 13.888683
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.044486 0.131439 0.357666 0.968294 2.535578 6.266550 15.646803
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.039433 0.121529 0.343347 0.963626 2.609620 6.649638 17.107380
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.036197 0.116090 0.339782 0.986442 2.756909 7.228566 19.123147
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.032003 0.106875 0.324212 0.973983 2.809930 7.582439 20.629407
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.029262 0.101535 0.318600 0.988447 2.938043 8.144754 22.748194
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.025627 0.092495 0.300479 0.963482 2.952520 8.413012 24.133267
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.024126 0.090230 0.302422 0.998875 3.145832 9.187093 26.989895